Expanding Utility Risk Modeling: Egress Failure and Tree Mortality
While maps of wildfire behavior and consequence remain essential tools, they provide an incomplete view of the total risk landscape facing utilities. Increasing regulatory and stakeholder focus on broader system vulnerabilities has highlighted hazards that are not well captured by traditional wildfire analyses. Even mature utility risk programs now face challenges quantifying and planning for these less-understood dimensions of risk.
Please join Harry Podschwit (Filsinger Energy Partners) as he explores how rigorous statistical methods can be used to quantify these emerging risks and integrate them into practical decision-making frameworks. The discussion will center on two often under-examined but critical components of utility risk: tree mortality and egress failure.
Topics include:
- Projected responses of tree mortality and wildfire risk under climate change
- Statistical approaches for developing risk maps of egress and ingress failure
- Risks of relying on single-model outputs for high-stakes decisions and strategies for multi-model integration
- Using interpretable predictive models to support operational and regulatory decision frameworks
This webinar is intended for utility risk managers, planners, vegetation management professionals, analysts, and others working at the intersection of infrastructure risk and decision science.
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