Wildfire Risk Modeling & Fire-Spread Analysis
Translate complex hazard, outage, ignition, and consequence data into decision ready risk intelligence.
WHAT WE DO
FEP develops and evaluates wildfire risk models that reflect utility assets, operating conditions, weather, fuels, terrain, and the consequences of fire spread. We focus on transparent methods that can support planning, operations, investment prioritization, and regulatory review.
SERVICES
Support tailored to the decision at hand
01 Wildfire risk mapping and risk segmentation
02 Outage and ignition probability modeling
03 Fire-spread and scenario analysis
04 Wildfire consequence and monetization methods
05 Short-duration, full-duration, and extreme-event analysis
06 Model validation, calibration, QA/QC, and documentation
WHAT THIS ENABLES
A clearer view of where risk is concentrated
Consistent scenarios across likelihood and consequence
Models that are explainable and defensible to operators, executives, and regulators
FEP PERSPECTIVE
One risk framework, multiple decisions
Useful wildfire modeling connects near-term operating conditions with long-term planning. FEP aligns weather-driven outage and ignition likelihood with fire-spread consequences so scenarios can support PSPS, inspections, grid hardening, mitigation prioritization, and financial risk analysis without creating disconnected models for each decision.
01 Weather, fuels, terrain, and utility-system conditions
02 Asset- and vegetation-related outage and ignition drivers
03 Typical, extreme, and low-frequency high-consequence scenarios
04 Transparent assumptions, calibration, and maintainable documentation